Equities Weekly: US Tech Resilience Amid Volatility
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Chief Investment Office16 Apr 2025
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US equities: Tech resilience amid market volatility. Despite our 3-month underweight call on US equities, we maintain a positive view on US technology. Recent market moves validated our strategic stance on this space as the 90-day tariff pause announcement triggered a sharp 7.3% rebound in the Nasdaq for the week of 11 Apr. This suggests strong underlying appetite for technology exposure once the policy fog is lifted. The rapid reversal reaffirms our view that investors’ sentiment towards technology remains fundamentally strong despite short-term volatility.

Valuation-wise, the broader S&P 500 trades at 20.3x forward P/E and this is in-line with the 10-year average of 20.1x while Magnificent 7 tech leaders are priced at just 25.5x forward earnings – a substantial 21% discount to their 10-year historical average of 32.2x. The substantial valuation discount gap relative to historical averages presents an interesting opportunity for long-term investors to gain exposure.

Beyond valuation, we believe the long-term structural drivers underpinning the technology sector remain intact. The secular themes of digitisation, AI adoption, and cloud infrastructure buildout are multi-year in nature and continue to attract capital allocation from investors. Importantly, the strategic relevance of technology to national security and economic competitiveness further bolsters its positioning. With the US government ramping up investments via the CHIPS and Science Act alongside broader efforts to onshore semiconductor manufacturing, there is a strong policy tailwind supporting the sector.

Equity fund flows: US Equity Funds experienced significant inflows of USD31bn during the week ended 9 Apr, its second largest weekly inflow YTD, underscoring renewed investor appetite following the 90-day exemption on tariffs. In contrast, Europe Equity Funds, which had enjoyed 8 consecutive weeks of inflows, broke their streak with USD3.1bn in outflows. This possibly reflects profit-taking after sustained gains driven by defence spending announcements in prior weeks.

Figure 1: Tech valuations vs 10Y average


Source: Bloomberg, DBS


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